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Elijah Mitchell

Elijah Mitchell Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Elijah Mitchell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-centric team in football (41.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.

The 49ers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football last year at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

After comprising 29.1% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Elijah Mitchell has been called on less the rushing attack this year, currently comprising only 15.9%.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's unit has been very good this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

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