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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

Dyami Brown's 39.9% Route% this year indicates an impressive progression in his passing offense workload over last year's 23.2% mark.

The Commanders O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

Dyami Brown has been one of the weakest WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 1.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 10th percentile among wide receivers.

This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has given up a paltry 55.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in football.

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