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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Dyami Brown to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense in this week's game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).

Dyami Brown profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a stellar 78.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.8 per game) this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.4%) vs. WRs this year (61.4%).

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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