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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).

While Dyami Brown has garnered 7.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Washington's pass game in this game at 14.0%.

With an impressive 79.1% Adjusted Completion% (82nd percentile) this year, Dyami Brown ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.34 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.8%) to WRs this year (60.8%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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