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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders

Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Commanders this year (a whopping 59.3 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 5th-most in football.

While Dyami Brown has accounted for 7.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Washington's pass game in this week's contest at 13.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 51.3% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

With a measly 1.7 adjusted catches per game (24th percentile) this year, Dyami Brown ranks as one of the bottom WRs in the league in football.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.3%) to wideouts this year (61.3%).

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