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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Dyami Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

With a dismal 4.0% Target Rate (15th percentile) last year, Dyami Brown ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.

Dyami Brown has been one of the worst WRs in the NFL last year, averaging a mere 0.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 8th percentile among wide receivers.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been phenomenal last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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