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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

Dyami Brown's 39.9% Route% this year indicates an impressive progression in his passing offense workload over last year's 23.2% mark.

The Commanders O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Dyami Brown profiles as one of the leading WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.12 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 87th percentile.

The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

After averaging 24.0 air yards per game last year, Dyami Brown has posted significant losses this year, now sitting at 4.0 per game.

Dyami Brown ranks as one of the bottom WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 13.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among WRs.

This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has given up a paltry 55.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in football.

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