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Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-113).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 60.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The model projects the Commanders to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.Dyami Brown has been one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging just 18.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 24th percentile among wideouts.This year, the fierce Lions defense has yielded a mere 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 6th-smallest rate in football.When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Detroit's safety corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
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