My Account Log Out

reorder

Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 128.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

After accruing 23.0 air yards per game last season, Dyami Brown has been a disappointment this season, now pacing 18.0 per game.

With a poor 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (25th percentile) this year, Dyami Brown places among the weakest pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

This year, the strong Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a mere 3.7 YAC.

The Buccaneers cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Dyami Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™