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Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 11.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 65.4% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Dyami Brown's 30.6% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a a meaningful gain in his pass attack workload over last year's 15.2% rate.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Bears defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a massive 9.95 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 121.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bears, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.

Dyami Brown has been among the worst pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a measly 17.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 22nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

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