Dyami Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

NFL · Player Props

Dyami Brown

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Dyami Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Dyami Brown to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this week (10.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (1.9% in games he has played).
The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the league (199.0) versus WRs this year.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (72.1%) versus wideouts this year (72.1%).

Favors Under

Dyami Brown has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Dyami Brown has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a measly 48.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile among wideouts
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.