D'Wayne Eskridge Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

D'Wayne Eskridge

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

D'Wayne Eskridge Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects D'Wayne Eskridge to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.8% in games he has played).
The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 59.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.