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Durham Smythe

Durham Smythe Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Durham Smythe Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.

Durham Smythe's 80.0% Route% this season shows a remarkable gain in his pass attack usage over last season's 27.1% figure.

Durham Smythe's 2.2 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a remarkable improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 1.2 mark.

With a remarkable 79.9% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) this year, Durham Smythe has been as one of the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to tight ends.

The New England Patriots safeties project as the 8th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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