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Durham Smythe

Durham Smythe Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

Durham Smythe Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Durham Smythe has run fewer routes this season (75.7% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (27.1%).

Durham Smythe's receiving skills have gotten better this season, notching 2.8 adjusted catches vs a mere 1.2 last season.

With a terrific 80.9% Adjusted Completion% (80th percentile) this year, Durham Smythe stands among the best possession receivers in the NFL among TEs.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81%) to tight ends this year (81.0%).

The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the worst unit in football this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.

More Durham Smythe Player Props

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