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Durham Smythe

Durham Smythe Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

Durham Smythe Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.

Durham Smythe's 73.0% Route% this season conveys a substantial boost in his air attack volume over last season's 27.1% rate.

Durham Smythe's 2.3 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a noteworthy growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 1.2 rate.

With an exceptional 80.0% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Durham Smythe has been as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.

The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).

The Commanders pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.2%) versus tight ends this year (69.2%).

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