Durham Smythe Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Durham Smythe

NFL · Player Props

Durham Smythe

TE · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 5:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Durham Smythe Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
Durham Smythe's 80.0% Route% this season shows a remarkable gain in his pass attack usage over last season's 27.1% figure.
After accumulating 5.0 air yards per game last year, Durham Smythe has produced significantly more this year, currently averaging 13.0 per game.
Durham Smythe has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).
With a remarkable 79.9% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) this year, Durham Smythe has been as one of the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to tight ends.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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