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Durham Smythe
NFL · Player Props
Durham Smythe
TE · Miami Dolphins
Receiving Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2022 Updated Sep 30, 2022 12:15 AM EST
NFL Props Durham Smythe Receiving Yards

Durham Smythe Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+123/-163).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -163.

Favors Over
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Dolphins have been the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.5% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (61.0) to tight ends since the start of last season.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has displayed weak efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, surrendering 8.68 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.
Favors Under
  • The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Durham Smythe's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 86.9% to 83.3%.
  • Durham Smythe's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, totaling just 7.15 yards-per-target vs a 9.42 mark last season.
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