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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Drew Sample Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Drew Sample's 88.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a significant boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 83.3% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

Drew Sample's 57.7% Snap% this season shows a noteable progression in his offensive utilization over last season's 38.2% rate.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.4%) vs. TEs this year (70.4%).

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