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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Drew Sample Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

With a terrific 86.1% Adjusted Completion% (78th percentile) this year, Drew Sample ranks among the most sure-handed receivers in football among TEs.

This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

Drew Sample has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 54.8% of snaps compared to just 38.2% last season.

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