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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Drew Sample Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.
  • Drew Sample's 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 83.3% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).
  • Drew Sample has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, playing on 51.8% of snaps compared to just 38.2% last year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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