My Account Log Out

reorder

Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Drew Sample Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 138.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Drew Sample's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 83.3% to 87.3%.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cleveland's collection of safeties has been lousy this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

Drew Sample's 55.8% snap rate this season signifies a substantial growth in his offensive workload over last season's 38.2% mark.

As it relates to air yards, Drew Sample ranks in the measly 23rd percentile among TEs this year, accruing just 2.0 per game.

When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

More Drew Sample Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™