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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Drew Sample Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Cowboys pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus tight ends this year, conceding 9.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

This year, the shaky Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a monstrous 5.04 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.

Drew Sample's 53.5% snap rate this year reflects a material improvement in his offensive usage over last year's 38.2% figure.

Drew Sample has totaled a paltry 2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 21st percentile among tight ends.

The Bengals offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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