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Drew Sample

Drew Sample Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Drew Sample Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Drew Sample's 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 83.3% figure.

Drew Sample rates as one of the best tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 6.13 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 87th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

Drew Sample has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, playing on 51.8% of snaps compared to just 38.2% last year.

Drew Sample has accrued a paltry 2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 22nd percentile among TEs.

Drew Sample profiles as one of the bottom TE receiving threats this year, averaging just 11.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 22nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

More Drew Sample Player Props

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