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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 58.8 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • The model projects Drake London to accrue 9.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Drake London has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this season (28.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (23.3%).
  • Drake London's 5.8 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a remarkable boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 4.3 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Falcons being a 6-point favorite in this game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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