Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 28.1% since the start of last season, which places him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Drake London has been among the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.

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