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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call 70.0 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Drake London to earn 7.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Drake London has been a less important option in his offense's pass attack this season (23.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (29.1%).

This year, the tough New Orleans Saints defense has given up a meager 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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