Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
In this week's game, Drake London is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.
The Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
With a stellar 4.5 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Drake London rates among the best wide receivers in the NFL in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Drake London has been a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this season (24.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (29.1%).
The New York cornerbacks grade out as the best CB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

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