Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Falcons this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
The leading projections forecast Drake London to notch 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
Drake London's 23.4% Target Share this year illustrates a material regression in his pass game usage over last year's 29.1% mark.

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