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Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.THE BLITZ projects Drake London to earn 8.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 28.7% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among WRs.The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus wideouts this year (70.2%).The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in just 60.1% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 20th percentile among WRsThe Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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