Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-119/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to notch 9.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 32.8% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 4.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 56.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among wideouts
The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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