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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-119/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Drake London to notch 9.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 32.8% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • Drake London has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 4.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Drake London has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 56.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among wideouts
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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