Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+118/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a giant 10-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Drake London has played on 79.0% of his team's snaps this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accrue 10.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing a measly 56.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 25th percentile among wide receivers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (54.2%) to WRs this year (54.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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