Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-158/+124).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to total 8.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 60.7% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 15th percentile among wide receivers
The Atlanta Falcons O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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