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Drake London

Drake London Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Drake London has run a route on 90.3% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.

With a bad 2.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London places as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL in space.

The Chiefs pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.7%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (60.7%).

Since the start of last season, the formidable Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.3 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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