Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Falcons offense has played at the 8th-quickest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Our trusted projections expect Drake London to accumulate 8.2 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London's 28.5% Target% this season illustrates a remarkable growth in his passing attack usage over last season's 23.3% figure.
After averaging 76.0 air yards per game last year, Drake London has made big progress this year, now averaging 88.0 per game.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Falcons as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.
This year, the stout Giants pass defense has given up the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 3.6 YAC.

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