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Drake London

Drake London Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Drake London to accrue 9.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
  • Drake London's 29.0% Target Rate this year reflects an impressive progression in his pass game usage over last year's 23.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • With a subpar 2.84 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (25th percentile) this year, Drake London rates as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL in space.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 134.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Broncos pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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