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Drake London

Drake London Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Drake London to accumulate 6.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among WRs.
  • Drake London's 2.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a a significant gain in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 0.0% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Texans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.0 per game) this year.
  • Drake London has been a less important option in his offense's passing game this year (19.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (29.1%).
  • After accumulating 75.0 air yards per game last year, Drake London has undergone a big decline this year, currently averaging 60.0 per game.
  • Drake London's 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year reflects a a significant reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 55.0 mark.

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