Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (+105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to notch 7.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 28.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
Drake London has been among the bottom WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 11th percentile.

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