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Drake London

Drake London Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The projections expect Drake London to earn 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Drake London has totaled a massive 77.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.

The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 51.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

Drake London has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this season (23.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (29.1%).

The Colts defense has yielded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 139.0) to wideouts this year.

The Colts pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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