Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 137.0 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The Falcons have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.9 plays per game.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
This week, Drake London is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.9 targets.
Drake London has accumulated a massive 71.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Drake London's 23.3% Target Rate this season indicates a substantial decrease in his passing game usage over last season's 29.1% figure.
This year, the daunting Saints defense has conceded a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
The Saints pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, conceding 7.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New Orleans's collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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