Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 29.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has notched a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.1 plays per game.
Drake London has been among the weakest wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 1st percentile.

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