Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to notch 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
The New Orleans Saints defense has allowed the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (154.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has not been good when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.29 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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