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Drake London

Drake London Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+277/-472).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -468 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -472.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Drake London to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (26.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).

Drake London has garnered a colossal 29.7% of his team's air yards this year: 85th percentile among wideouts.

Drake London's 63.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 90th percentile for wide receivers.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus wideouts this year (70.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.

Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in just 60.1% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 20th percentile among WRs

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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