Drake London Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 9

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+277/-472).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -468 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -472.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (26.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).
Drake London has garnered a colossal 29.7% of his team's air yards this year: 85th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London's 63.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 90th percentile for wide receivers.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus wideouts this year (70.2%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in just 60.1% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 20th percentile among WRs
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.