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Drake London

Drake London Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+255/-355).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Drake London to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (27.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (22.2% in games he has played).
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 2nd-least TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 0.58 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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