Drake London Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving TD

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+268/-461).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +334 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +268.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Drake London has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 36.7% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Drake London has earned a whopping 26.9% of his team's air yards this year: 79th percentile among WRs.
Drake London's 59.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 88th percentile for WRs.
Drake London ranks in the 82nd percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.36 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a measly 59.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 13th percentile among WRs
The Washington Commanders safeties project as the best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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