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Drake London

Drake London Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+268/-461).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +334 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +268.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Drake London has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 36.7% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Drake London has earned a whopping 26.9% of his team's air yards this year: 79th percentile among WRs.
  • Drake London's 59.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 88th percentile for WRs.
  • Drake London ranks in the 82nd percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.36 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • Drake London has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a measly 59.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 13th percentile among WRs
  • The Washington Commanders safeties project as the best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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