Dorian Thompson-Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Dorian Thompson-Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Dorian Thompson-Robinson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Dorian Thompson-Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-fewest yards in the NFL (just 93 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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