Dorian Thompson-Robinson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dorian Thompson-Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Dorian Thompson-Robinson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Completions

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Dorian Thompson-Robinson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
This year, the fierce Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up a mere 64.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.
The Steelers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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