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Dontrell Hilliard

Dontrell Hilliard Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Dontrell Hilliard Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Dontrell Hilliard's running effectiveness (5.61 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (91st percentile among running backs).

Dontrell Hilliard has been among the top running backs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.47 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 84th percentile.

The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

The Tennessee Titans have utilized some form of misdirection on 50.7% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.

Dontrell Hilliard has been a less important option in his offense's run game this season (5.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (26.2%).

The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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