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Dontrell Hilliard

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.

Dontrell Hilliard's 17.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for running backs.

Dontrell Hilliard has been among the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 20.0 yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Dontrell Hilliard's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this season, notching 19.92 yards-per-target compared to just 3.91 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Dontrell Hilliard has notched a puny 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 21st percentile among RBs.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Tennessee Titans O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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