Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dontrell Hilliard

NFL · Player Props

Dontrell Hilliard

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 18, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Dontrell Hilliard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Dontrell Hilliard to garner 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Dontrell Hilliard has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 12.9% this year, which places him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
Dontrell Hilliard has put up a whopping 4.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Dontrell Hilliard has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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