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Dontayvion Wicks

Dontayvion Wicks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Dontayvion Wicks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.6 per game) this year.

The Green Bay offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

This year, the feeble Detroit Lions defense has been torched for a massive 197.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 2nd-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

This year, the stout Lions defense has surrendered the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.4 yards.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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